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2013 NBA Mock Draft – Consensus Ver 3.0
Posted By HOOPSWORLD On May 15, 2013 @ 12:30 pm In NBA Draft | No Comments
Each year HOOPSWORLD puts together a team of writers to look at the NBA Draft. The idea here is to illustrate how differently (or similarly) writers from various NBA markets see the 2013 NBA Draft. So with that out of the way…
Here is the third installment:
Alex’s Notebook: Point guards like Trey Burke, Michael Carter-Williams and Dennis Schroeder may have to wait awhile before getting picked on draft night, even though they are very talented players.
Most of the teams in the top 10 have a young floor general that seems to be part of their long-term plan. The Cleveland Cavaliers have Kyrie Irving, the Phoenix Suns have Goran Dragic, the New Orleans Hornets have Greivis Vazquez, the Detroit Pistons have Brandon Knight, the Washington Wizards have John Wall, the Minnesota Timberwolves have Ricky Rubio, the Portland Trail Blazers have Damian Lillard, the Philadelphia 76ers have Jrue Holiday and the Oklahoma City Thunder have Russell Westbrook.
Assuming the Orlando Magic and Charlotte Bobcats pick Nerlens Noel and Ben McLemore, the Sacramento Kings are the only remaining team in the top 10 that may need a point guard (if they want an upgrade over Isaiah Thomas, who has played extremely well considering where he was drafted). If the Kings decide to draft one, Burke is clearly the best of the bunch, which is why I have them selecting the former Michigan star in my latest mock draft.
Carter-Williams has the talent of a top-10 pick, especially in this class, but each of the previously mentioned teams have bigger needs since they each have a young starting point guard. That’s why I have the former Syracuse standout going to the Dallas Mavericks at No. 13.
Schroeder had his coming out party during the Nike Hoop Summit, where he put up 18 points, six assists and two rebounds in the World Select Team’s 112-98 victory. The German star wouldn’t be the first player to make a huge jump after an impressive performance at the Hoop Summit (think Bismack Biyombo in 2011). Schroeder is only 19 years old and has a lot of potential. I have him going to Utah Jazz, a team that needs a point guard to fill out their young core.
Yannis’ Notebook: The 2013 NBA Draft Combine will be conducted this week and it is always one of the more interesting events of the predraft process for several reasons. The list of participants itself is very telling because NBA teams vote for who they want to be there, so typically the 60 invites are the prospects in the best position to get drafted if it were to be held shortly afterwards.
Another intriguing aspect of the combine is the workouts. While more players will participate than not, those who don’t typically are of the belief that they are solidly in the lottery. Otherwise, they’d want to take advantage of the opportunity to showcase their skills in front of personnel from every NBA team.
The interview process, while not publicized, can really have an impact on team’s perceptions of prospects. Teams generally put together a list of guys who they are really interested in from a talent and abilities standpoint. What separates those guys on that list is how the team feels like they’ll fit in, and their attitude and character, things interviews can be very telling about, play a role in the final decision process.
The measurements are a big factor as well. While sometimes they can read into too much, there’s a certain benefit that comes from being at the top of a category, or measuring in bigger or longer than expected. At the same token, being near the bottom of categories and coming in shorter or heavier than expected never helps.
Barring a player or two maybe making a big climb, we already have a really good idea of who will be going in the top 10-15 picks of this year’s draft. But, spots 15-60 are far from set. The combine and the workouts that follow will help that part of the draft come together.
Joel’s Notebook: Let’s just be honest about this, folks; up until this week, we’ve been assembling these mock drafts based on what we’ve been told is supposed to happen, but with no real team interviews or workouts, it has been impossible for us to truly gauge where a player might actually end up. That all changes this week, as the annual Draft Combine in Chicago takes place and rumors start swirling about which players certain teams love and be targeting just a little over a month away from the draft.
Plus, we’ll finally have some of our official measurables, and rest assured that there are players that will blow people away once those workouts get underway. The picture we have of the draft now has been mostly speculation, but in just a couple of days the real fun begins, and when it does you’ll start seeing some real shifts in this draft picture from week to week.
All that said, it’s starting to look like there will be more first-round European players taken in this draft than recent years. Rudy Gobert looks like a lottery pick, and both Dennis Schroeder and Giannis Adetokunbo are names generating buzz early in this process. Dario Saric and Sergey Karasev seem like locks for the first round, as well, and Lucas Nogueira (who feels like he’s had his name in the draft pool for the last four or five years) is a borderline first-rounder, as well. Considering Evan Fournier was the only international player taken in the first-round last year, that’s a huge shift, but it should only make the first round even more exciting. Scouts haven’t loved this many international prospects this much in quite a while. It speaks volumes for how thin this draft must be if that’s where those scouts’ eyeballs are turning.
Steve’s Notebook: There are two tiers of shooting guards in the 2013 NBA Draft, the top tier “named guys” and then a bunch of guys that are very similar just a small notch below them.
Kansas’ Ben McLemore and Indiana’s Victor Oladipo lead the way in the two guard class, but just at their heels are Georgia’s Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, San Diego State’s Jamaal Franklin, Kentucky’s Archie Goodwin, Cal’s Allen Crabbe and Michigan’s Tim Hardaway Jr.
The problem NBA teams are going to face with these five players is the skill gap between them is not that great so finding the right place for these guys in a Mock Draft is tough because they will truly be “eye of the beholder “ selections.
Pope seems to have a fan base inside NBA circles, but is often described by talent evaluators as a very one dimensional player that came from an average Georgia team. Hawk’s guard John Jenkins was described the same way last year coming out of Vanderbilt and was selected 26th overall.
Franklin is arguably the best all-around athlete of the bench and is the best defender in the group. He is a better outside shooter than people give him credit for and he proved last season that he could carry a team.
Goodwin is likely the rawest of the bunch, which can appeal to teams that pride themselves on development. Goodwin has some serious athletic ability but was far from efficient at Kentucky.
Hardaway Jr might be the most ready to contribute, making him an ideal selection of one of the playoff teams in the 20’s. Hardaway’s skill set is far greater than he illustrated at Michigan, so he could be a player that jumps up after teams work him out.
Crabbe is the enigma. He was a hyper efficient scorer at Cal. He has a picture perfect jump shot and has all the intangibles that teams covet. If there is one player that could leap to the top of this list its Crabbe. He grades out incredibly well on the advanced analytics side and given how solid he was at Cal things could get interesting.
The 2013 NBA Draft class is littered with promising big men, but the depth af the two guard position and the quality of the options available outside of the top two is going to make for some interesting theater on draft night, because there are genuinely seven two guards that are first round talents, but it’s unlikely that they all go in the first.
The NBA Draft takes place on Thursday June 27th in Brooklyn.
So who are these guys?… Alex Kennedy has covered the NBA for four years and covers the NBA from Orlando. Yannis Koutroupis is HOOPSWORLD’s college basketball editor. He has also covered the NBA for seven years and covers the San Antonio Spurs, the Houstons Rockets and the D-League. Joel Brigham has covered the NBA for eight years and covers the Central Division for HOOPSWORLD including the Bulls and the Pacers. Steve Kyler is the editor and publisher of HOOPSWORLD and has covered the NBA for 13 seasons and has handled the Mock Draft for USA Today Sports for the past three years.
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