2013 NBA Mock Draft – Consensus Ver 5.0
Each year HOOPSWORLD puts together a team of writers to look at the NBA Draft. The idea here is to illustrate how differently (or similarly) writers from various NBA markets see the 2013 NBA Draft. So with that out of the way…
Here is the fifth installment:
Alex’s Notebook: The biggest mover in my mock draft this week is Trey Burke, who jumped to the No. 2 spot. If the Orlando Magic had won the lottery, I believe they would’ve selected Nerlens Noel with the first pick. However, Burke is certainly an option for Orlando at No. 2 and he would fill their biggest need since they only have one point guard on their roster, and it’s Jameer Nelson who is 31 years old. For more on the possibility of Burke to the Magic, check out this article where I make the case for the former Michigan star going No. 2. (http://www.hoopsworld.com/what-magic-should-do-with-second-pick)
Rudy Gobert is a player that really intrigues me and I’m excited to see how the French center develops in the coming years. I’ve had Gobert going to the Oklahoma City Thunder at No. 12 in every version of the consensus mock draft thus far. It just makes too much sense, in my opinion. Oklahoma City needs a young center to play alongside Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook and Serge Ibaka, since Kendrick Perkins is 28 years old and has been mentioned as a possible amnesty candidate. Thunder general manager Sam Presti is clearly fine with bringing in a center that will be a project, as evidenced by the fact that he signed Hasheem Thabeet and Daniel Orton last summer. Oklahoma City is ultimately hoping that one of these project bigs will pan out and become Perkins’ replacement down the road.
It’s unlikely that Thabeet or Orton is the long-term answer for the Thunder, which is why the 20-year-old Gobert seems like the best fit for Oklahoma City with the lottery pick they received from the Toronto Raptors. Gobert is 7’2 and has all of the physical gifts to be an outstanding player, specifically a 7’8.5 wingspan and 9’7 standing reach (which are both NBA draft combine records). He’s incredibly raw – otherwise he’d be a much higher pick – but has a ridiculous amount of potential. That’s fine, though, because the contending Thunder won’t need him to contribute right away. He can just work on his game and further his development. And it’s no secret that Oklahoma City is outstanding when it comes to developing young talent so the marriage would be perfect. The Thunder put each of their players in a customized development program that helps them to reach their full potential. In Gobert’s case, that means he could become a very scary player and part of Oklahoma City’s terrific young core going forward.
Gobert really helped himself at the combine. Not only were his measurements jaw dropping, he was also impressive in the drills. Nobody could score on Gobert in the paint, which isn’t a surprise considering his length. Of all the prospects in Chicago, Gobert may have generated the most buzz so No. 12 is a realistic spot for him to be selected. In fact, he may even be off of the board at that point. DraftExpress has moved him into the top 10 after his great showing at the combine.
Yannis’ Notebook: The 2013 NBA Draft is less than a month away and it’s getting more and more difficult to narrow down which 30 players belong in the first round. Really, outside of the top 15 the talent discrepancy becomes so slim that an argument can be made for just about anyone.
For instance, on my mock this week I have Tony Mitchell, Mouhammadou Jaiteh, Ricky Ledo, Lorenzo Brown, Tony Snell, Pierre Jackson, C.J. Leslie, Jackie Carmichael and Colton Iverson lasting until the second round. That’s not to say that they can’t go in the first round, but that’s just how things shook out in my mind this week.
It’s really a testament to the depth of this draft, which is not talked about anywhere near as much as the lack of star power. If you take a look at the bottom of the first, you’ll notice a very talented and promising group of players. Shane Larkin, who I have going 23rd to the Pacers, is one of the best athletes in the draft and a savant at running the pick-and-roll. Lucas Nogueira is a rapidly improving big man who has turned into quite a fine player since we last heard from him in the 2011 NBA Draft. Glen Rice Jr. was the Finals MVP in the second best league in the world. Reggie Bullock is one of the premier perimeter defenders in this draft, and you can continue to go down the line and find reasons to really be intrigued by the prospects available late.
Draft classes are too often remembered for who their top guys were. If a draft produces 5-6 All-Stars but only 10 rotation guys after three years, some would view that as a bigger success than a draft that produces only 1-2 All-Stars but 25 rotation guys. As they say, beauty is in the eye of the beholder, but with 60 picks total being made there should be a little bit more appreciation for the guys picked outside of the top 15.
Joel’s Notebook: The Chicago Bulls have done pretty well snatching value out of the latter portion of the last couple of drafts, particularly as it pertains to Jimmy Butler, but Marquis Teague could eventually flower into something pretty impressive, too. That means Bulls fans should have every confidence that they can find value at pick #20 in this year’s draft, and as I do more and more of these mocks, I become more convinced that they’re going to take a backup center there.
This week, Mason Plumlee fell for some reason, and he’s exactly the kind of hard-working player from big-time basketball pedigree that Chicago loves, but in other mock drafts I’ve seen Steven Adams, Kelly Olynyk, and Gorgui Dieng fall there, as well. Those players are all very different iterations of center, but at least one or two of them should still be available when the Bulls pick, and I think it’s very likely the Bulls snatch one of them up.
If Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is still around, I still think he’s the pick, but the more I hear about his stock rising to lottery or near-lottery status, the more I think Chicago ends up with a big man from this particular first-round pick.
On a completely unrelated note, I’ll also admit that I know very little about Rudy Gobert and Dennis Schroeder since I haven’t had the opportunity to watch much of either, but thanks to YouTube I’m feeling very confident in them as future pros. I think both will go in the lottery, and I think both have the potential to be a couple of the better rookies in this class.
Steve’s Notebook: The 2013 NBA Draft class could arguably be dubbed the Colossal Class of 2013 – there are legitimately 19 draftable players that measured in at 6’10 or bigger. There are eight players that are draftable that measured in 7’0 or bigger with French big man Rudy Gobert logging the best size in the 2013 Draft at 7”2 in shoes. Some scouts are not sold Gobert’s even a center at the next level. In comparison there were just three draftable seven footers in the 2012 Draft.
One thing you hear repeatedly in NBA scouting circles is the mantra that ‘you cannot teach size’, and while bigs in the NBA have been historically hit and miss, you can expect that there will be a lot of picks in the 2013 NBA Draft invested in bigs, even by those teams with bigs already on the roster.
As for the best bigs on the board… watch for Mason Plumlee and his ridiculous 9” standing reach to gain a lot of traction in the march up to the draft as well as Colorado State’s Colton Iverson; he measured in a legit 7’ in shoes and a standing reach of 9’2.
Also on the measurement side, much was made of likely top overall pick Nerlens Noel weighing in at 206 pounds, a good 19 pounds off his playing weight mostly due from inactivity related to his ACL injury.
However to put his weight into some context Kansas big man Jeff Withey logged in at 222 pounds, Cody Zeller at 230 pounds, Norvelle Pelle came in just a pound over Noel at 207.
On the flip side, Pitt big man Steven Adams came in at 255 pounds and 6.7% body fat, while Iverson logged in a beefy 263 pounds with 9.6% body fat.
For NBA teams looking for size, there seems to be tons of it in the 2013 Draft class, the questions is which ones have what it takes to have long careers in the NBA?
The NBA Draft takes place on Thursday June 27th in Brooklyn.
So who are these guys?… Alex Kennedy has covered the NBA for four years and covers the NBA from Orlando. Yannis Koutroupis is HOOPSWORLD’s college basketball editor. He has also covered the NBA for seven years and covers the San Antonio Spurs, the Houston Rockets and the D-League. Joel Brigham has covered the NBA for eight years and covers the Central Division for HOOPSWORLD including the Bulls and the Pacers. Steve Kyler is the editor and publisher of HOOPSWORLD and has covered the NBA for 13 seasons and has handled the Mock Draft for USA Today Sports for the past three years.