HOOPSWORLD
Josh Smith Rumors Heating Up

By: Travis Heath   Last Updated: 7/26/08 5:16 PM ET | 3254 times read
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Negotiations are reportedly going nowhere between the Atlanta Hawks and restricted free agent Josh Smith.  Smith is hoping for an annual salary in excess of $10 million while the Hawks are reluctant to meet his price.  

It's easy to forget the Hawks won just 37 regular season games last season since what everyone remembers is Atlanta pushing the Boston Celtics to the brink in the first round.  The cold hard truth is, though, that Atlanta really isn't anywhere close to contending.  As such, giving Smith big-time money is a risky proposition.  Moreover, with Mike Bibby scheduled to come off the books next summer, the Hawks could look to re-tool in the summer of 2009 or 2010.

At this stage, it looks like the Hawks best bet might be to sign and trade Josh Smith.  Sekou Smith of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution indicated that a "Western Conference power" and an "Eastern Conference big dog" have already submitted offers to the Hawks, and that the team is currently in the process of weighing those offers.  

Of course, any kind of sign and trade deal is harder than it appears at face value.  If Smith signs a contract in excess of $10 million as it's expected he will, he will immediately become a Base Year Compensation (BYC) player due to the 20% increase in his salary.  This means the Hawks could only take back 50% of Smith's BYC contract, which definitely complicates potential trade scenarios.  It's possible that a third team might have to get involved in a number trade scenarios.  Still, even while complicated to consummate, there's a heck of a lot of smoke coming from the sign and trade Josh Smith fire.

This can't help but make one wonder who exactly the teams are that Sekou Smith was referring to.  Could the LA Lakers be the "Western Conference powerhouse" poised to make a play for Smith? 

Well, the Lakers could offer Lamar Odom to the Hawks and take back Smith and point guard Speedy Claxton, provided the deal Smith signs with Atlanta before being traded is enough to match salaries given his BYC status.  The move would give the Lakers the defensive presence it lacked in the Finals against the Boston Celtics, and it would also provide the Hawks with a good player and an expiring contract in Odom valued at over $14 million.

The Denver Nuggets could be a suitor, too, as a result of the $10 million trade exception the team received in the Marcus Camby deal according to league sources.  In addition to the trade exception, the Nuggets have some future first round picks to play with as well as young talent like J.R. Smith and Linas Kleiza.  The Nuggets are the only team that can offer the Hawks straight cap relief.  The question is whether or not the Nuggets would be willing to shell out somewhere in the neighborhood of $10-12 million for Smith, which would once again put the Nuggets deep into luxury tax territory. 

Another possible suitor could be the Dallas Mavericks.  Josh Howard is rumored to be on the market and a move to Atlanta would give him a fresh start playing alongside Bibby and Joe Johnson.

Phoenix is also a team to keep an eye on due to the fact both Leandro Barbosa and Boris Diaw have been on the market all summer.

In the Eastern Conference, word is the Detroit Pistons are making a push for Smith in a deal which would likely feature Tayshaun Prince being shipped out.  Such an idea is intriguing for Atlanta, but one has to figure Hawks GM Rick Sund would be at least somewhat leery of shipping Smith to a team already at the top of the Eastern Conference.

There's always a chance Atlanta could change its stance and give Smith what he wants.  The other option would involve Smith playing for the qualifying offer next season and then becoming an unrestricted free agent in the summer of 2009.  However, this would likely mean the Hawks would lose him for nothing next summer, which has to be a prospect Atlanta isn't very fond of.

All that said, the smart money points towards a sign and trade.  And with offers reportedly already on the table, expect this situation to really heat up in the coming days.

HOOPSWORLD'S Eric Pincus contributed to this report.

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About the Author: TRAVIS HEATH
Travis Heath has covered the NBA for HOOPSWORLD for three years, powering HOOPSWORLD.COM. He is a member of the Professional Basketball Writer's Association and has been featured as an analyst on networks such as CNN, Altitude TV, NBA Radio on Sirius, ESPN Radio, and Fox Sports Radio.

Comments (16 posted) Post your comment
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posted By DeeBee, 26 July 2008 6:27:08 PM
So the WC Power is the Lakers who are in talks with Atlanta?
posted By The Man, 26 July 2008 7:30:25 PM
Sign and trade to Philly for Iguodala. Make it happen Eddie Stefanski. Iggy is not the #1 guy you can build a franchise around he's a Scottie Pippen at best. This would still leave a huge whole at shooting guard, but there's plenty of time to add a shooting guard til the season starts.
posted By Bill Ingram, 27 July 2008 12:26:27 AM
You know the Lakers would love to have him in a trade for Odom . . .and yes, if the Sixers could sell Atlanta on the idea that would be great for them!
posted By Mr. Ed, 27 July 2008 4:46:07 AM
You don't suppose Portland could be in on this, do you? They've definately got some pieces they could move.
posted By Travis Heath, 27 July 2008 10:52:41 AM
Interesting idea with Portland, and you're right they have the pieces to move. But is Smith the type of piece that puts them in contention? I'm not sure he is. Still, an interesting possbility to ponder.
posted By MATT#33, 27 July 2008 11:58:34 AM
This question is for Bill or Travis, Is there any chance Boston is the Eastern team? http://www.newenglandsportsblog.com/
posted By Travis Heath, 27 July 2008 1:06:30 PM
Very doubtful, Matt. None of the folks I've talked to in the last 24 hours or so have mentioned Boston. The C's just don't have the pieces necessary to get Atlanta's attention. Also, introducing a new piece as big as Smith could be detrimental to the chemistry of a defending champion. Nothing's impossible at this point, but I don't think Josh will be heading to Beantown.
posted By saleem, 27 July 2008 1:52:33 PM
Dallas for Smith or Portland for a package of players make some sense. But ATL should really keep him to capitalize on the momentum of their playoff showing. Honestly did you see how much energy the fans in Atlanta showed in the Celts series? Turning the corner on years of apathy may never be as close at hand again.
posted By MATT#33, 27 July 2008 2:40:29 PM
Thank you for your timely response Travis. You are correct that Detroit is a lot less of a stretch and have more to offer than Boston, I just refuse to count out any type of maneuver when discussing Danny Ainge and the Boston Celtics. When checking your sources did you hear anything involving Michael Finley, Darius Miles or any other potential pick-up for the Celtics?
posted By Rggns05, 27 July 2008 4:47:17 PM
The Man, Did you say Iggy is a Scottie Pippen at best...who do you think Scottie was, a role player? Pippen was a phenom on the court, I get what your saying about Iggy, but never compare him to Scottie, especially when he gave and left everything he had on the court. Now about Smith to Portland, wow, how amazing would that be. Adding Smith would almost guarantee Portland the best defensive front court in NBA History (Oden, Smith and Aldridge). I would be suprised with this trade though, theres not much room for him down low, Outlaw and Webster are rising stars who fit our system the best. I would hate to see either of them get traded, but Smith would likely make Portland the best team in the NBA.
posted By John, 27 July 2008 6:39:24 PM
All I hear all these freaks always talking about is the Lakers getting everyone. THEY HAVE NOTHING MORE TO OFFER THAN ANY OTHER TEAM!!!!!!! NO FIRST ROUND PICKS FOR 3 YEARS!!!!!!!!!
posted By lakerlifer, 27 July 2008 8:14:00 PM
Hey John ... read the paper much? LA's got Lamar Odom and his $14 million expiring contract to offer that NOBODY else has ... moron!!!
posted By The Man, 27 July 2008 9:59:58 PM
What I meant by saying Iggy is a Scottie Pippen at best was that he'll never be "The Guy", as in the #1 option on a team. Pippen was the perfect #2 behind Jordan, and that's how I view Iggy.
posted By The Answer, 28 July 2008 12:10:41 AM
I'm a huge Sixers fan and love the idea of J-Smoove in a Sixers uniform. But instead of trading Iggy I'd try and dangle Dalembert and a future 1st rounder instead and let Jason Smith start at center. The Sixers would have one of the best starting lineups in the East. PG-Miller, SG-Iggy, SF-Smith, PF-Brand, C-Smith with Thaddeus Young and Lou Williams off the bench.
posted By DeeBee, 28 July 2008 4:32:56 AM
Travis, has anyone mentioned the Lakers the last 24 hours?
posted By Mr. Ed, 28 July 2008 10:26:39 PM
The more I think about it, the more I wonder if it might have been Phoenix. Barbosa and Diaw for Smith? Stranger things have happened. Of course it's just a guess on my part, but still ;)



 
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