Yes, it’s about that time folks. Training camps are in full swing, and actual preseason games tip off tomorrow night. This means that fantasy basketball drafts are right around the corner. But have no worries, the fantasy nerds here at HOOPSWORLD have been busy crunching numbers, analyzing trends, and have already begun crafting the industry’s best cheat sheets for your use on draft day.
Below is the first of many Top-150 overall rankings we will post throughout the 2013-14 NBA season.
As always, it is imperative that I issue this disclaimer: These rankings are based on 9-category fantasy scoring leagues that account for points, assists, rebounds, steals, blocks, three-pointers made, turnovers, field goal percentage, and free throw percentage. The rankings for five-category leagues would look far different, especially for particular players with major flaws in categories such as free-throw shooting or turnovers.
Beneath the rankings, I have included a hodgepodge of comments, random stats and other interesting tidbits to help explain the thinking behind a handful of these selections. As always, feel free to hit me on twitter (@TommyBeer) should you have any draft day queries and/or trade questions.
Without further adieu, I present the 2013-14 Top 150 overall:
|Top 150 Fantasy Players For 2013-2014 |
|1 ||LeBron James ||76 ||Wesley Matthews |
|2 ||Kevin Durant ||77 ||Jose Calderon |
|3 ||Chris Paul ||78 ||Enes Kanter |
|4 ||Stephen Curry ||79 ||Zach Randolph |
|5 ||James Harden ||80 ||Kenneth Faried |
|6 ||Kevin Love ||81 ||Wilson Chandler |
|7 ||Kyrie Irving ||82 ||Bradley Beal |
|8 ||Paul George ||83 ||Tyson Chandler |
|9 ||Marc Gasol ||84 ||Marcin Gortat |
|10 ||Al Jefferson ||85 ||Jonas Valanciunas |
|11 ||Carmelo Anthony ||86 ||Gordon Hayward |
|12 ||LaMarcus Aldridge ||87 ||Jeremy Lin |
|13 ||Serge Ibaka ||88 ||Tobias Harris |
|14 ||Dirk Nowitzki ||89 ||Greivis Vasquez |
|15 ||Deron Williams ||90 ||Jameer Nelson |
|16 ||Derrick Rose ||91 ||JaVale McGee |
|17 ||Nicolas Batum ||92 ||Gerald Wallace |
|18 ||Al Horford ||93 ||Amir Johnson |
|19 ||Anthony Davis ||94 ||Gerald Henderson |
|20 ||Dwyane Wade ||95 ||DeMar DeRozan |
|21 ||Damian Lillard ||96 ||Kevin Garnett |
|22 ||Mike Conley ||97 ||Evan Turner |
|23 ||DeMarcus Cousins ||98 ||Eric Gordon |
|24 ||John Wall ||99 ||Andre Drummond |
|25 ||Paul Millsap ||100 ||Raymond Felton |
|26 ||Joakim Noah ||101 ||Joe Johnson |
|27 ||David Lee ||102 ||Moe Harkless |
|28 ||Josh Smith ||103 ||Danny Granger |
|29 ||Kemba Walker ||104 ||Michael Carter-Williams |
|30 ||Pau Gasol ||105 ||J.J. Hickson |
|31 ||Tony Parker ||106 ||Victor Oladipo |
|32 ||Jeff Green ||107 ||Andrei Kirilenko |
|33 ||Ersan Ilyasova ||108 ||Manu Ginobili |
|34 ||Ty Lawson ||109 ||Carlos Boozer |
|35 ||Larry Sanders ||110 ||Iman Shumpert |
|36 ||Brandon Jennings ||111 ||Isaiah Thomas |
|37 ||Tim Duncan ||112 ||Andrew Bogut |
|38 ||Kawhi Leonard ||113 ||Brandon Knight |
|39 ||Brook Lopez ||114 ||Jimmy Butler |
|40 ||Russell Westbrook ||115 ||Ben McLemore |
|41 ||Nikola Vucevic ||116 ||Cody Zeller |
|42 ||Kyle Lowry ||117 ||Spencer Hawes |
|43 ||Roy Hibbert ||118 ||Jamal Crawford |
|44 ||Chris Bosh ||119 ||Michael Kidd-Gilchrist |
|45 ||Rudy Gay ||120 ||Chris Kaman |
|46 ||Thaddeus Young ||121 ||Kyle Korver |
|47 ||Klay Thompson ||122 ||Tiago Splitter |
|48 ||Kobe Bryant ||123 ||Ray Allen |
|49 ||Jeff Teague ||124 ||Nate Robinson |
|50 ||Blake Griffin ||125 ||Shawn Marion |
|51 ||Jrue Holliday ||126 ||Andrea Bargnani |
|52 ||Rajon Rondo ||127 ||Jarrett Jack |
|53 ||Dwight Howard ||128 ||Reggie Jackson |
|54 ||Ricky Rubio ||129 ||Andrew Bynum |
|55 ||Derrick Favors ||130 ||Omer Asik |
|56 ||Monta Ellis ||131 ||Nene |
|57 ||Greg Monroe ||132 ||Harrison Barnes |
|58 ||David West ||133 ||Kelly Olynyk |
|59 ||Paul Pierce ||134 ||J.J. Redick |
|60 ||Luol Deng ||135 ||Arron Afflalo |
|61 ||Andre Iguodala ||136 ||Dion Waiters |
|62 ||Tyreke Evans ||137 ||Tristan Thompson |
|63 ||Chandler Parsons ||138 ||Randy Foye |
|64 ||Kevin Martin ||139 ||Carlos Delfino |
|65 ||Goran Dragic ||140 ||Anthony Bennett |
|66 ||Ryan Anderson ||141 ||Danilo Gallinari |
|67 ||Steve Nash ||142 ||Greg Stiemsma |
|68 ||George Hill ||143 ||Ramon Sessions |
|69 ||Nikola Pekovic ||144 ||Alec Burks |
|70 ||J.R. Smith ||145 ||Nick Young |
|71 ||Eric Bledsoe ||146 ||Rodney Stuckey |
|72 ||Anderson Varejao ||147 ||Glen Davis |
|73 ||Trey Burke ||148 ||Otto Porter |
|74 ||Danny Green ||149 ||Jared Dudley |
|75 ||O.J. Mayo ||150 ||Marcus Thornton |
- Coming off a terrible, injury-plagued season, it’s somewhat easy to forget just how dominant a fantasy force Kevin Love can be when healthy. The last time Love played a full month without injury complications was March of 2012. Here are the ridiculous averages he posted over the 16 games he played that month: 30.7 ppg, 13.9 rpg, and 3.0 three-pointers. He finished the 2011-12 campaign averaging 26 points, 13.4 rebounds, and 1.9 triples. Consider this: Love averaged more rebounds than Blake Griffin and Tim Duncan, more points than Carmelo Anthony and Russell Westbrook, and more three’s than James Harden that season. Looking at other outlet’s rankings, and early ADP returns, it seems many folks are undervaluing Love; he’d be an absolute steal in the late first-round or early in the second if he slips that far. Last year at this time, I begged folks to not be scared off the “red flags” attached to Stephen Curry. Love could be this year’s version of a fantasy superstar that slips too on draft day due to injury concerns.
- Last season, Marc Gasol became the second player in NBA history to average at least 14 points, four assists and 1.5 blocks, while also shooting better than 84 percent from the free-throw stripe in the same season. The only player to match those across-the-board totals: Michel Jordan.
- Damian Lillard led the entire NBA in minutes played, making him just the third rookie in league history to ever do so – joining Wilt Chamberlain and Elvin Hayes. Lillard was also only the fourth rookie in NBA history to win the Rookie of the Year award by a unanimous vote (Blake Griffin, David Robinson, and Ralph Sampson). In addition, Lillard became just the third rookie in league history to score 1,500 points and dish out over 500 assists in their first season (Oscar Robertson and Allen Iverson).
- Yes, the Celtics are going to be bad next season, but they are going to need somebody to shoot and score. Jeff Green will be that man. Draft him. Over the Celtic’s final 38 games last season (Rajon Rondo tore his ACL on January 28), Green averaged 16.4 points, 4.7 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 1.1 three-pointers, and 1.2 blocks. Over that three-month stretch, Green was one of only four NBA players to average at least one block and one three-pointer per contest – the other three players were Nicolas Batum, Josh Smith, and Kevin Durant.
- Here’s Derrick Favors per-36 minutes averages from last season: 14.6 points, 11 rebounds, 1.3 steals, and 2.6 blocks. Well, Paul Millsap is now in Atlanta and Al Jefferson plays for the Bobcats – which means Favors may very well see close to 36 minutes a night.
- You already know the deal with Dwight Howard – he is far, FAR more valuable (Top-10 overall) in 5-category leagues and head-to-head formats. But in nine-cat leagues, which are what these rankings are based on, his free throw percentage is crippling. Last season, Howard shot just 49.2 percent from the stripe. Not only does he shoot poorly from the line, he averages nearly 10 attempts per game, which really drags down your overall score in roto leagues. (As a point of comparison, Ramon Sessions averaged just 5.7 attempts per game, but still averaged more FT makes last season). The other blemish on Howard’s resume is the turnovers. Last season, he turned the ball over three times a night. Again, if you are playing in a five-category league (which tallies solely points, boards, assists, steals, and blocks), feel free to take Dwight early in the first round. If you play in an 8 or 9-cat league, let somebody else make the mistake of reaching for him too early (unless you are willing to punt the FT percentage category).
- I have touched on this previously, but Anthony Davis seemed to fly under the radar as a rookie. And while he didn’t quite live up to expectations, he still put up incredibly impressive numbers. He finished last season as one of only three players to average at least 1.8 blocks and 1.2 steals (Joakim Noah and Josh Smith were the other two). However, Davis was incredibly efficient on offense as well. In fact, he was one of just seven players to average 13.5 ppg, while also shooting over 51 percent from the field and over 75 percent from the stripe. (The other members of this elite club were: LeBron James, Tony Parker, David Lee, Chris Bosh, Brook Lopez, and Amar’e Stoudemire). Davis did this all at just 19 years of age and in relatively limited minutes. His upside is frightening. Add it all up and you have one of the more exciting and promising young players in the fantasy hoops universe. Last tidbit for you to consider: Last season Davis became the first player since Shawn Kemp in 1991-92 (and just the 4th player in NBA history) to tally 13.5 points, 8 rebounds, and 1.6 blocks despite averaging fewer than 29 minutes per contest.
- Over his final 28 games of last season, Larry Sanders averaged 12.2 points, 11 rebounds and 2.5 blocks. He flew under the radar playing in Milwaukee, but he’ll receive plenty of hype in fantasy circles this Fall.
- There are very, very few players that will be drafted in the later rounds of fantasy drafts that have the potential to realistically finish the season in the Top-25 overall. Kyle Lowry happens to be one of the select few in that category (Anderson Varejao is another). Lowry has been a fantasy beast when healthy and focused; the rare point guard who contributes across the board. Lowry has dealt with nagging injuries and run-ins with head coaches, but since his breakout season in 2010, Lowry has always produced. Consider this: Since the start of the 2010-11 season, there are only four players that have posted composite averages of at least 13 ppg, 6 apg, and 4 rpg: LeBron James, Russell Westbrook, John Wall, and Kyle Lowry. Not bad company for Lowry to keep (especially considering Lowry has hit more three-pointers than the other three guys on that list). And now, with Jose Calderon no longer in Toronto, the stars are aligned for Lowry to play all the minutes he can handle as the Raptors starting point guard. Add it all up, and we have a recipe for fantasy success.
- There is a very good chance that Thad Young leads the Sixers in points (while shooting above 53 percent from the floor), rebounds, and steals this year. Yes, the Sixers will likely be historically horrible, but someone will need to score and grab boards etc. More often than not, that person will be Young – he’ll be undervalued on draft day, but don’t let him slip past you in the middle rounds.
- Much like the aforementioned Derrick Favors, Enes Kanter stands to see a major uptick in minutes next season as well. And Kanter’s per-36 averages are equally impressive: 16.9 points, 10.2 boards. 1.1 blocks. Better yet, he shot 54.4 percent from the floor and 79.5 percent from the free-throw stripe a season ago. Both young Jazz big men have seen their stock rise dramatically this offseason.
- Last season, Utah had three veteran point guards on its roster: Mo Williams, Earl Watson, and Jamaal Tinsley. Combo guard Randy Foye was also asked to assume responsibilities at the point from time-to-time. Well, Williams and Watson are now members of the Portland Trailblazers; Foye is a Denver Nugget; and Tinsley remains unsigned. It is clearly apparent that the Jazz envision Burke as their lead guard of the future. Despite being a bit undersized, Burke is a lethal scorer. Although Burke struggled during summer league action in Orlando, his resume at the collegiate level is impressive. Last season at Michigan he averaged 18.6 points a game (shooting over 46 percent from the floor and 80 percent from the free-throw line) and knocked down nearly two three-pointers per contest. It he plays 30+ minutes a night for Utah, he has the potential to put up terrific numbers at a position that is traditionally very shallow in most fantasy leagues.
- Bradley Beal had a bit of an up-and-down first season in D.C. He struggled with his shot a bit, shooting just 41 percent from the floor, and then saw his season come to an abrupt end due to a right fibula injury. However, he showed flashes of an outstanding offensive skill set that has Wiz fans super excited. Beal has recently been cleared by the Washington medical staff and appears to be fully healthy and ready to roll this season.
- Kelly Olynyk will be a defensive liability in the NBA, but we don’t have to worry about that within fantasy circles. The upshot is Olynyk is a gifted offensive player, with impressive agility and athleticism for a seven-footer. His upside was on full display in Orlando Summer League action, where Olynyk was downright dominant. He ended up averaging 18.0 points and 7.8 rebounds, while shooting a sizzling 57.8 percent from the floor, while also showcasing a nice stroke from behind the arc. In addition, the Celtics find themselves in a complete rebuild mode and are currently cleaning house, which leaves Olynyk as one of the only centers on the roster.
- In the 36 games in which Andre Drummond played at least 20 minutes, he averaged 10.2 points (while shooting over 62 percent from the floor), 8.9 rebounds, 1.5 blocks, and 1.3 steals – and that was in just 23 minutes per game on average. Extrapolated out to over 30 minutes a night, those are jaw-dropping numbers. The one caveat we have to mention when discussing Drummond’s fantasy value is his abominable free-throw shooting. Drummond somehow managed to shot just 37.1 from the free-throw stripe last season. He is just the fifth player in the 66-year history of the league to attempt at least 150 free-throws, yet shot below 38 percent from the charity stripe.
- Over the first 30 games of the 2012-13 campaign (before the injury bug began to bite), Chris Kaman averaged 13.7 ppg and 6.5 rpg, to go along with solid shooting percentages. As long as he can stay healthy, he’ll play plenty of minutes for the undermanned Lakers, and should be able to post decent numbers. Kaman makes sense as a late-round flier that could provide depth at the always thin center position.